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Verdict
DUTCH MILLS is a firm choice. He can prove a below-par latest run was just a blip and has a good record of rewarding his backers. Improbable Journey has winning form over C and D.
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Next 5 UK & IRE Races:
| No. | Selection RP Rating | Previous odds | Price | SP |
Place Only 2 |
Place Only 3 |
Place Only 4 |
Insure 2 Places | Insure 3 Places | Insure 4 Places | Insure Faller | Betting Without | Betting Without | Betting Without | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | (1) |
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SP | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Spotlight :
Beaten 15l when seventh of 11 over 1m1f at Keeneland (claimer) last month on debut for this trainer; brings winning C and D form to the table; moves down to an easier grade (in for $16k); others more persuasive.,,
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| 2 | (2) |
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SP | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Has struggled to factor since winning an allowance race at Horseshoe Indianapolis four months ago and been largely out of form in recent starts; found life tough when 10l back in seventh in a claimer (Keeneland, dropped back to this distance) four weeks ago; tag drops from $20k to $16k here; passed over.,,
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| 3 | (3) |
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SP | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Fair effort when beaten just over 5l 47 days ago in a claimer; makes debut for stable; must be high on list as recent performance was encouraging and lower claiming tag suggests he may have less on his plate here.,,
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| 4 | (4) |
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SP | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
A winner over this C and D; consistent lately; respectable effort (beaten 4½l) over 6½f here (claimer) last month; should be thereabouts if finding his best form.,,
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| 5 | (5) |
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SP | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Last of four in an allowance race at Mahoning Valley four weeks ago; has been fairly consistent of late; others have more pressing claims as has a lot on his plate here.,,
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| 6 | (6) |
|
SP | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Spotlight :
On target twice in his last six outings; C and D has proven suitable before; tailed off when he was behind several of these rivals 49 days ago (sloppy track, bumped at the start) in a claimer; found this claiming level has been beyond him recently so others make more appeal.,,
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| 7 | (7) |
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SP | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Beaten 12l into fourth in a claimer at Keeneland last month; successful five times from 11 career runs; eased in class with tag standing at $16k here; can make his presence felt.,,
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| 8 | (8) |
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SP | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Has won at this track; has proven competitive in a race of this nature; not beaten that far in seventh (7l) over 1m½f here (claimer) two months ago; makes his debut for new yard; this is the only ride on the card for Adam Beschizza; shown he can win fairly recently and likely to be involved.,,
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| 9 | (9) |
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SP | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Has won here; had a number of these behind him in a claimer (sloppy track) when beaten 2l into runner-up at 10-1 49 days ago; he has a shout if replicating most recent run.,,
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| 10 | (10) |
|
SP | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Spotlight :
Has not been firing consistently; beaten 9l (sixth) in a claimer (bobbled at the start, Keeneland) last month; calmer waters here (in for $16k, $20k tag last time); others have more pressing claims.,,
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| 11 | (11) |
|
SP | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Spotlight :
Shown all winning form at Thistledown (two successes); finished behind Shakin Loose in a claimer when last of 11 at Keeneland last month upped to 1m1f; drops to a $16k tag from $20k; now running for a new trainer; he can be taken on.,,
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| 12 | (12) |
|
SP | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
A course winner; finished just behind Dutch Mills when fifth in a claimer at Keeneland five weeks ago; now down in class (in for $16k from $40k); he should go close despite defeat last time as ran well at Churchill Downs three runs back.,,
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1/5 Odds 3 Places |
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SP bets settled at the William Hill SP and FC's and TC's at the William Hill special dividends Rule 4 deductions |
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