Going - Good to soft-soft in places
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Verdict
- Complete form
A race that has been won by two future Gold Cup winners but this is notoriously hard to call with its history littered with bookmaker-friendly outcomes. Stamina usually wins the day and DERRYHASSEN PADDY is a staying chaser in the making who did well to win around the twists and turns of Windsor last time. He's very highly regarded and his stable has won this before. Some scruffy hurdling has been an unwanted feature in the careers of Argento Boy (second choice) and Jasmin De Vaux, but there's little jumping to be done from a long way out here and both should come home strongly. Jet Blue and Intense Approach are respected armed with all their experience.[Alistair Jones]
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Next 5 UK & IRE Races:
| No. | Selection RP Rating | Previous odds | Price | SP |
Place Only 2 |
Place Only 3 |
Place Only 4 |
Insure 2 Places | Insure 3 Places | Insure 4 Places | Insure Faller | Betting Without | Betting Without | Betting Without | ||||||||||||||
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| 20 |
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10/3 | 4/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Spotlight :
Bred for the job as a half-sister to the 2023 winner Stay Away Fay; bought for £120,000 after winning her point and remains unbeaten after winning both her hurdle races, repelling Argento Boy in a maiden (2m5f) before displaying plenty of stamina in winning a 2m7f Grade 2 at Limerick (smart RPR given they went a steady pace; on yielding to soft); difficult to gauge how good this scopey mare is and the fact no female has won this race carries little significance when so few have tried.
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| 9 |
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6/1 13/2 | 7/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Won last year's Champion Bumper but hasn't looked a natural over hurdles, even when winning his 2m maiden that's worked out really well; comfortably beaten in 2m4f/2m6f Grade 1s the last twice, though he was boxing on in the latest (in first-time cheekpieces which are now discarded) and this longer trip could put a spring in his step should his jumping pass the test; dangerous to dismiss with Paul Townend back aboard; his standout form is on soft ground.
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| 11 |
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11/2 13/2 | 7/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Won three of his ten bumpers in France and also a 2m2f hurdle in October; moved stables after changing hands for 220,000euros in November and a month later created quite an impression when decisively winning a Grade 2 here (good to soft) on his first foray over 3m, with subsequent Grade 2 winner Yellow Car left trailing in his wake; winning course form has regularly featured on successful CVs in this race and he's accrued plenty of experience; hard to knock.
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| 18 |
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6/1 7/1 | 15/2 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
The winner of a point, two bumpers and a 2m4f maiden hurdle; under positive rides he's also made the frame in two Grade 1s this year, in the latest (2m6f, soft; has won on good to yielding) keeping on for second prize behind the impressive Final Demand; this 7yo is a big lad who won't be fazed by a big field and gives the impression that he'll stay all day; respected runner for a yard that made the breakthrough in this race 12 months ago; has worn this hood in his last six races.
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| 17 |
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17/2 8/1 | 17/2 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
1-3 in points and 2-3 in bumpers; got beat at Hexham on his hurdling debut but then won well at Ludlow and showed that he belonged in this company when best of the rest behind The New Lion in the Grade 1 Challow at Newbury (2m4f, good to soft) where he produced his best work late in the day; massively odds-on when easily making all in a Wetherby novice (2m3f, soft) and rates a likely contender with this longer trip a probable plus.
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| 3 |
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9/1 12/1 | 9/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Point winner who extended his unbeaten record to three under rules (tongue tied in all) when digging deep to edge out a previous Listed winner in a 3m novice at Windsor in January; looks hot property with the future in mind and should be in his element with this stiffer stamina test provided by the New course; has only raced on soft or heavy ground but he's well thought of by his respected yard that won this in 2012 and had a fourth Festival winner on Tuesday.
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| 2 |
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11/1 | 12/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Quick enough to win a bumper on yielding ground but smacks of a stayer having won a 3m Grade 3 last time at Clonmel (soft), albeit a weak one and effectively a match; appears to have the right attitude and that can count for plenty in this race.
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| 1 |
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12/1 | 14/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Won a bumper before offering little in the Grade 1s here and at Punchestown; had another blip in his second maiden hurdle but likeable efforts on either side of that, pushing The Big Westerner close in the first despite racing with the choke out and last time winning as he liked at Punchestown (2m7f, heavy); his jumping hasn't been pretty and all his best form is in the mud, but the raw ability he has is respected; shortlisted.
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| 8 |
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11/1 12/1 | 14/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Has been making hay in softer races all season and he's not beaten anything of note in his most recent wins here (good) and at Musselburgh (good to soft); however, those were over 3m so he's an assured stayer, and already having nine hurdle starts in the bag is a selling point when many past winners of this were well stocked up on experience; should give his running.
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| 6 |
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16/1 18/1 | 16/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Hasn't been out of handicap company in well over a year but highly progressive in that scene and better than ever when close third in a 3m Listed handicap at Leopardstown last month (soft; has won on yielding); moved with purpose through that race and perhaps went for home a tad early; battle-hardened, still improving and wouldn't be without a squeak.
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| 15 |
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22/1 25/1 | 22/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Cost £300,000 after winning his point (3m, soft) and he followed up in a Gowran bumper (2m2f, heavy); has improved with each of his races over hurdles but he wasn't that impressive last time at Punchestown (extended 2m3f, heavy; second has won since); may prefer testing ground.
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| 16 |
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20/1 | 22/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Outran his odds when a closing fourth in last year's Champion Bumper; the form of his first two efforts in maiden hurdles were underwhelming and he offered little in a 2m6f Grade 1 at the Dublin Racing Festival when behind Wingmen and Jasmin De Vaux.
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| 5 |
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25/1 28/1 | 25/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Fifth in last season's Champion Bumper; his jumping was hit and miss when a beaten favourite in his first hurdle start (2m7f; yielding; behind stablemate Inn At The Park) but he found greater fluency in front when making all at Fairyhouse (2m4f, soft); connections have hinted that staying will be his game and this sort of test could well trigger a spike in form.
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| 10 |
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25/1 | 28/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Seemingly all the better for wind surgery when making all for clearcut wins at Doncaster (2m3f, good to soft) and Ascot (2m5f, good) before just falling short under the same tactics in a Listed race at Huntingdon (2m3f, good to soft); worth a crack over this far but this is a tough race in which to dominate from the front should they persevere with the same tactics.
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| 19 |
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25/1 | 28/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Found 2m3f too sharp a test three runs back but progressive otherwise this season at up to 3m and had Ma Shantou and Jig's Forge behind when digging deepest in a Grade 2 at Doncaster last time (3m, good to soft); this demands a whole lot more and he has plenty to find with Jet Blue on their clash here in December.
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| 13 |
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25/1 28/1 | 33/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Failed in his hat-trick bid when made favourite for the Grade 2 River Don at Doncaster (3m) but, while that was his first attempt over this far, he shaped as though a truer-run race would have benefited him; like many in here, the potential is there for a career best.
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| 4 |
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40/1 50/1 | 40/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Both wins under rules have come on good ground over Ascot's extended 2m3f, on either side of finishing tailed off in the Grade 1 Challow; raised markedly in trip here but he won his 3m point on heavy and his trainer describes him as a relentless galloper; possible improver.
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| 7 |
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40/1 50/1 | 40/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Same connections won this three years ago with The Nice Guy; wins nothing on his final run but that was simply too bad to be true and he had previously won well over 2m7f at Fairyhouse (yielding) where Fishery Lane was back in third; retains potential and he clearly stays well.
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| 12 |
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40/1 50/1 | 40/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Won his 3m point on heavy ground so should stay okay; made all in a 2m4f maiden on soft at Ffos Las but he gave up the ghost quite tamely when behind some of these in a 3m Grade 2 at Doncaster in January (good to soft); opposable on the back of that effort.
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| 14 |
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40/1 50/1 | 40/1 | SP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Spotlight :
Fetched £260,000 after winning his Irish point; returning from a long absence when promoted to second in a Newbury novice and, in a new tongue-tie (retained), he was left clear at the final flight to win a Huntingdon maiden (2m4f, good to soft) by daylight; already looks as though he needs this sort of trip but wouldn't be the obvious answer on what he's shown to date.
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